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← JEE Main 2021 · 24 Feb · Shift 1
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JEE Main 2021 · 24 Feb · Shift 1, Mathematics question 82

Let Bi_i (i = 1, 2, 3) be three independent events in a sample space. The probability that only B1_1 occur is α, only B2_2 occurs is β and only B3_3 occurs is γ. Let p be the probability that none of the events Bi_i occurs and these 4 probabilities satisfy the equations (α − 2β) p = αβ and (β − 3γ) p = 2βγ (All the probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0, 1)). Then P(B1)P(B3)\dfrac{P(B_1)}{P(B_3)} is equal to _______.

Answer and worked solution

Official answer: 6

Odds. With xi=P(Bi)x_i=P(B_i), αp=x11−x1=a\frac\alpha p=\frac{x_1}{1-x_1}=a, βp=b\frac\beta p=b, γp=c\frac\gamma p=c. The equations become a−2b=aba-2b=ab and b−3c=2bcb-3c=2bc, i.e. 1b−2a=1\frac1b-\frac2a=1 and 1c−3b=2\frac1c-\frac3b=2.

Ratio. With u=1au=\frac1a: 1b=2u+1\frac1b=2u+1, 1c=6u+5\frac1c=6u+5. Since xi=11+1/aix_i=\frac1{1+1/a_i}, x1x3=1+1c1+u=6u+6u+1=6\dfrac{x_1}{x_3}=\dfrac{1+\frac1c}{1+u}=\dfrac{6u+6}{u+1}=6.

Answer: 6