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← JEE Advanced 2013 · Paper 1
MathematicsInteger+4 / -1Question 58 of 60

JEE Advanced 2013 · Paper 1, Mathematics question 58

Of the three independent events E1E_1, E2E_2 and E3E_3, the probability that only E1E_1 occurs is α\alpha, only E2E_2 occurs is β\beta and only E3E_3 occurs is γ\gamma. Let the probability pp that none of events E1E_1, E2E_2 or E3E_3 occurs satisfy the equations (α−2β)p=αβ(\alpha-2\beta)p=\alpha\beta and (β−3γ)p=2βγ(\beta-3\gamma)p=2\beta\gamma. All the given probabilities are assumed to lie in the interval (0,1)(0,1).

Then Probability of occurrence of E1Probability of occurrence of E3=\dfrac{\text{Probability of occurrence of }E_1}{\text{Probability of occurrence of }E_3}=

Answer and worked solution

Official answer: 6

Variables. With P(Ei)=x,y,zP(E_i)=x,y,z: α=x(1−y)(1−z)\alpha=x(1-y)(1-z), β=(1−x)y(1−z)\beta=(1-x)y(1-z), γ=(1−x)(1−y)z\gamma=(1-x)(1-y)z, p=(1−x)(1−y)(1−z)p=(1-x)(1-y)(1-z). So αp=x1−x\frac\alpha p=\frac x{1-x}, etc.

First equation divided by αβ\alpha\beta: pβ−2pα=1\frac p\beta-\frac{2p}\alpha=1, i.e. (1y−1)−2(1x−1)=1\left(\frac1y-1\right)-2\left(\frac1x-1\right)=1, so x=2yx=2y.

Second equation divided by βγ\beta\gamma: pγ−3pβ=2\frac p\gamma-\frac{3p}\beta=2, i.e. (1z−1)−3(1y−1)=2\left(\frac1z-1\right)-3\left(\frac1y-1\right)=2, so y=3zy=3z.

Ratio xz=6\dfrac xz=6.

Answer: 6